Encyclopedia of Opinion
Question
Why are the Simpsons good at predicting future events?
Position‹3 of 3

Huge sample size - one of the outrageous things was sure to happen

Proponents of this position hold that the apparent prescience is a counting artifact: a series running for decades made so many throwaway absurd claims that some were bound to resemble later events, while the misses went unrecorded.

Supporting arguments · 2

  1. A long enough run of absurd jokes will contain some that later come true
  2. The misses are never counted, so the hit rate is never actually measured