Encyclopedia of Opinion
Question
Does fortune telling work?
Position1 of 2›
Yes, fortune telling works
Argument‹2 of 2

A reading does the work people actually seek it out for, whatever its source

The argument

A second case for fortune-telling sets the question of foresight aside and defends the practice by what it does for those who use it. Proponents argue that a client arriving with a decision already half-made, a grief not spoken about, or a fear they cannot name, leaves a reading with that material arranged: the possibilities laid out, the thing they had been avoiding said aloud by someone else, and a reason to act. The reading supplies what proponents describe as structured attention from a stranger, at low cost, with no diagnosis attached and no record kept, which on this account is a service otherwise hard to obtain. Proponents point to how the practice is actually used in support of this. Clients commonly return, which suggests they are getting something they value; they choose readers by reputation and leave those they find unhelpful; and much of what they ask about concerns not the distant future but what to do next about a relationship, a job or a family. A practice sustained by repeat custom in that way, proponents argue, is being judged useful by the people best placed to judge. On this version the claim that fortune-telling works is deliberately modest. It does not assert that the future is being read, and proponents who argue this way are often indifferent to whether it is. They claim that the encounter reliably produces clarity, resolve and consolation, that these are the outcomes clients are seeking, and that a practice which delivers what it is sought for can fairly be said to work.

Premises

[P1]Clients arrive with decisions half-made, unspoken grief or unnamed fear, and leave a reading with that material arranged and said aloud. [P2] The practice is sustained by repeat custom, by clients choosing readers on reputation and leaving unhelpful ones, and by questions about immediate choices rather than the distant future. [P3] A practice that reliably delivers the clarity, resolve and consolation its clients are seeking can fairly be said to work. [C] Therefore fortune telling works.

Counter-arguments

Those who hold that fortune-telling does not work argue that this redefines the claim rather than defending it. The question is whether readings disclose the future, and a defence resting on consolation concedes that they do not. They add that the benefits described are obtainable without false claims, and that the false claims carry costs: clients have delayed medical treatment, made financial decisions and stayed in or left relationships on the strength of a reading presented as knowledge. On this account repeat custom measures satisfaction, which is also high for practices that are demonstrably inert.

Rejecting the premises

[Rejecting P1] Attention from a stranger that produces clarity is available from many sources that make no predictive claim, so the benefit described is not evidence about fortune-telling in particular. [Rejecting P2] Repeat custom records satisfaction and is high for practices known to be inert, and clients return partly because readings are framed to leave matters unresolved. [Rejecting P3] This redefines working as giving clients what they seek, whereas the question asked is whether readings disclose the future; answering the easier question concedes the harder one. [Rejecting C] The conclusion equivocates on the word works, and on the sense at issue the premises provide no support at all.