Yes, Donald Trump will be re-elected

As the 2016 election showed, opinion polls cannot accurately predict Presidential election results.

Donald Trump's central campaign message: America First, speaks to growing voter anxiety around diminishing US influence and rise of other global actors.

Donald Trump dramatically reduced unemployment and reinvigorated the US economy. This track record is critical at a time when the coronavirus is rapidly weakening Trump's economic gains.

While national polls show Biden with a lead, the electoral college system prioritizes battleground states. Trump has a great chance of winning key states, which will win him the election. It will be a 2016 repeat.

As riots have swept the nation, Donald Trump's 2020 manifesto promises cracking down on left-wing extremism. This is reassuring for many of the electorate who fear the violence these groups have unleashed on the nation.

Almost all of the 2016 election polls showed Hillary Clinton winning. Therefore, national polls should be viewed with skepticism. Studies show that Trump supporters are often unwilling to voice their support for fear of judgement. This is another reason that polls are not always accurate.

Statistically, sitting Presidents are much more likely to be re-elected regardless of opinion poll results. This suggests Donald Trump will be re-elected in the 2020 election.