- Question
Why did US election polling get it wrong in 2016?
Why did the polls misjudge the 2016 US election? This entry maps the explanations — that polls underestimated Trump's support, suffered nonresponse bias, captured dishonest answers, and reflected bias in identifying likely voters.
Position 1 of 4
Read this position →2016 polls underestimated Trump's level of support
Position 2 of 4
Read this position →2016 polls had issues with nonresponse bias
Position 3 of 4
Read this position →Many people in 2016 polls were not honest about who they would vote for
Position 4 of 4
Read this position →