Encyclopedia of Opinion
Question
What is the future of NATO?
Position1 of 3
NATO will be dismantled
Argument3 of 3

NATO belongs in the Cold War era.

NATO was set up over seventy years ago to deal with a threat that no longer exists today.

The argument

The world is no longer divided between two isolated spheres of influence. Instead, it is increasingly inter-connected with states reliant on each other for economic growth and investment. In a globalised world, where diplomacy and trade is prioritised over conflict, NATO no longer serves a purpose. Conventional security threats have been replaced by complex global threats which impacts nation states equally. From climate change to international terrorism, these threats require multinational solutions and cooperation that go well beyond an archaic military alliance.

Premises

[P1]The world is no longer split into two isolated spheres of influence but is globally interconnected, with states relying on each other for trade and investment and prioritising diplomacy over conflict. [P2] Conventional security threats have given way to complex global ones—climate change, international terrorism—that require broad multinational cooperation rather than an archaic military alliance. [C] Therefore, because NATO belongs to the Cold War era, NATO will be dismantled.

Counter-arguments

Russia's recent aggressive and adventurous foreign policy, which includes the annexation of Crimea, military intervention in Syria, and the financing and arming of rebels in Ukraine, is a reminder that the conventional threat NATO was set up to deal with, namely to tackle Russian military expansionism, remains relevant. Despite the Soviet Union ending nineteen years ago, Russia under Vladimir Putin continues to pursue an anti-Western foreign policy. The authoritarian nature of his presidency paired with its increasingly aggressive behaviour to neighbouring states has led many members of NATO to reconsider its importance, particularly in Eastern Europe. This has led to an increase in NATO deployments and defence spending amongst NATO members.

Rejecting the premises

[Rejecting P1] There are still significant foreign policy threats that make NATO still valuable.