Encyclopedia of Opinion
Question
What are the options on a second Brexit referendum?
Position4 of 6
Referendum between the May plan and a hard Brexit
Argument1 of 2

Brexit needs further clarification

The first election was the ‘yes or no’ the second will be the ‘how’

The argument

Holding a second referendum which gave people the choice between a hard, no deal Brexit, and Theresa May’s plan would allow people to choose the terms over which they wanted Brexit to occur. If the public wants to prioritise escaping from EU jurisdiction and the immediate control over our immigration policies, they can vote for a hard, no-deal Brexit. If they would rather remain in the customs union and avoid the imposition of tariffs, the introduction of extensive bureaucracy and customs declarations on all exports to Europe, and the uncertainty over Britain’s future trade with the EU, they can vote for Theresa May’s plan, which includes a backstop for Northern Ireland and a transition period which would see Britain remain in the customs union. The second referendum wouldn't undermine Britain's democracy as the scope is sufficiently different from the first. It would just add clarity to what the people want.

Context

The first referendum was very limited in its scope. It asked people if they wanted to leave but didn’t specify how people wanted to leave.

Premises

[P1]A second referendum offering a choice between a hard no-deal Brexit and Theresa May's plan would let people choose the terms of Brexit. [P2] Those prioritising escape from EU jurisdiction could pick no-deal; those wanting to avoid tariffs and uncertainty could pick May's plan. [P3] Because its scope differs from the first vote, it would add clarity rather than undermine democracy. [C] Therefore, since Brexit needs further clarification, a referendum between the May plan and a hard Brexit is warranted.

Counter-arguments

This option refuses to acknowledge the glaring issues with the first referendum. Not only did the Vote Leave campaign break campaign laws, but high-profile Brexiteers lied extensively. As a result, the first in/out vote was not legitimate. We cannot move onto the 'how' until we have clarified the decision in binary in/out terms. It also doesn't account for shifting public opinion. Given polling now indicates more people would prefer to remain in the EU than accept the terms on offer in Theresa May's deal or invoke a hard Brexit, the original question should be revisited.

Rejecting the premises

The first election was illegitimate and didn't deal with the issue at all. We can't move on to 'how' until we have clarified the in/out vote.