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Will Donald Trump be re-elected? Will Donald Trump be re-elected?
Yes, Donald Trump will be re-elected Yes, Donald Trump will be re-elected
No, Donald Trump will not be re-elected No, Donald Trump will not be re-elected
The Presidential incumbency rate suggests Donald Trump will be re-elected The Presidential incumbency rate suggests Donald Trump will be re-elected
US opinion polls are unreliable indicators of the Presidential election results US opinion polls are unreliable indicators of the Presidential election results
Donald Trump has revitalised the US economy Donald Trump has revitalised the US economy
Donald Trump's America First agenda is more relevant now than ever before Donald Trump's America First agenda is more relevant now than ever before
Donald Trump offers a stand against domestic antifa terrorism at a time of social instability Donald Trump offers a stand against domestic antifa terrorism at a time of social instability
Donald Trump is set to win key election battlegrounds Donald Trump is set to win key election battlegrounds
Donald Trump will win - Polls aren't reliable and Trump voters are hesitant to be vocal Donald Trump will win - Polls aren't reliable and Trump voters are hesitant to be vocal
Donald Trump is trailing in the 2020 election polls Donald Trump is trailing in the 2020 election polls
Donald Trump's handling of the coronavirus pandemic has lost him critical election support Donald Trump's handling of the coronavirus pandemic has lost him critical election support
Donald Trump has alienated black voters Donald Trump has alienated black voters
Donald Trump has alienated the core Republican electorate Donald Trump has alienated the core Republican electorate
Donald Trump's debate performance tanked support Donald Trump's debate performance tanked support
Trump was diagnosed with COVID-19 due to lax event policies Trump was diagnosed with COVID-19 due to lax event policies
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Will Donald Trump be re-elected?
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No, Donald Trump will not be re-elected

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Donald Trump is trailing in the 2020 election polls

Donald Trump is losing ground in the polls, while Joe Biden's share is increasing.
Nate Cohn
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Context

Biden's numbers are up in nearly all key states, and he's even gaining territory in Northern battlegrounds. He is up +8 in Michigan and +10 in Wisconsin Biden is leading in PA Biden is up in nearly ALL national polls

The Argument

Trump is trailing in key battlegrounds, and even some traditionally red states His numbers are lower than in 2016 "Biden is currently leading in swing state polls, putting him on course to win the Electoral College" (Politico)

Counter arguments

Proponents

Premises

Rejecting the premises

References

This page was last edited on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2020 at 16:17 UTC

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