The European Union will become a United States of Europe
The EU will integrate more and more until they form a 'United States of Europe', a counterpart to China and the US.
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The Argument
Increasingly stuck between two global powers in the USA and China, the European Union will integrate further with member states electing to pool sovereignty and commit to EU-wide policy in a range of new areas including foreign and defence policy, taxation, and energy policy.
The external pressure individual EU member states face in dealing with large super-states will push many towards further integration and cooperation as the European Union moves towards a power project. This will lead to the creation of a form of 'United States of Europe' as a counter-balance to China and the USA.
Counter arguments
The European Union faces a litany of challenges including the Eurozone crisis, the migration crisis, Britain's exit, and rising levels of populism in individual EU Member States. While taken individually the European Union might survive, but taken together the European Union's future looks bleak with it likely to break up.
Its inevitable decline will come about as a result of increasing disagreement amongst Member States from the different geographic regions of Europe, who ultimately have different priorities and interests.
Premises
[P1] Stuck between superpowers, the EU will move closer towards pooling sovereignty into a United States of Europe.
Rejecting the premises
[Rejecting P1] The member states disagree too much for this to happen, and they will instead break up.