What are the implications of Kanye West running for President?

Encyclopedia of Opinion

Question: What are the implications of Kanye West running for President?
Position‹2 of 3›: Kanye West will split the Republican vote
Argument: Kanye West appeals to Republican voters

Having expressed his support for President Trump in the past, Republicans see Kanye as one of them.

The argument

Republican voters tend to agree with President Trump, when he commented on West's Republican support as a "cultural turning point."With Kanye, entertainment, which for so long has been seen as default liberal, experienced a political shift. The consequence was that Kanye soon became a hero amongst the GOP, who respected Kanye's break from expectations and allegiance to their politics. Kanye is already a household name, and appeals to conservative instincts. It is only natural that this is where he will find his most active support. As Conservative writer Alec Shears writes in The Independent: "Then there's the base Kanye is appealing to: Republican, evangelical, and deeply supportive of Trump. That's his new target demographic, and he seems to be dragging his old demo along as well. A Kanye West presidency is entirely plausible thanks to the current president. Trump opened the door for more Hollywood tough guy superstars to run for office at any level. When you have a reality star in the Oval Office, a world-famous rapper isn't that much of a stretch."

Context

In 2019, Kanye announced his support for the Republicans. West likened President Trump to Abraham Lincoln, before telling the gathered crowd: "the Republican Party freed the slaves!" His right wing affiliation doesn't end there. West is frequently spotted wearing a "Make America Great Again" cap, in a public show of his support for Trump's political agenda and belief in his campaign mantra. Given this, West's natural support base lies with the Republicans.

Premises

[P1]Kanye West's break from default-liberal entertainment and his support for Trump made him a hero among Republican and evangelical voters. [P2] As a household name appealing to conservative instincts, his most active support would come from the GOP base, and Trump's own celebrity presidency makes such a run plausible. [C] Therefore, Kanye West appeals to Republican voters and would draw from that base, splitting the Republican vote.

Counter-arguments

Kanye's brand of politics might be right-leaning, but there is no evidence to suggest that Republicans prefer him to Trump.

Rejecting the premises

[Rejecting P1] Praise from a president and approval from commentators are not evidence about voters. The premise reads elite reaction to a celebrity's break from expectation as a shift in the electorate, and the counter's objection stands unanswered: nothing offered shows Republican voters preferred him to the incumbent. [Rejecting P2] Name recognition is not partisan support, and for the conclusion what matters is the ballot. A candidate qualifying in only a handful of states, drawing on a following built long before any conservative turn, is at least as likely to take votes from elsewhere — which is the rival position in this very question. Calling a presidency "entirely plausible" also does not bear on which vote is split.