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When will coronavirus end? When will coronavirus end?
The coronavirus pandemic will end by January 2021 (in 6 months) The coronavirus pandemic will end by January 2021 (in 6 months)
The coronavirus pandemic will end in July 2021 (1 Year) The coronavirus pandemic will end in July 2021 (1 Year)
The coronavirus pandemic won't end until at least July 2022 (2 years) The coronavirus pandemic won't end until at least July 2022 (2 years)
The coronavirus pandemic may never end The coronavirus pandemic may never end
A vaccine will be widely available A vaccine will be widely available
The world will be close to the herd immunity threshold The world will be close to the herd immunity threshold
Infections will be insignificant in number Infections will be insignificant in number
Antibody treatments will help slow the spread Antibody treatments will help slow the spread
Widely distributed vaccine will produce herd immunity Widely distributed vaccine will produce herd immunity
Swift action by new leaders will curb the pandemic Swift action by new leaders will curb the pandemic
Global distancing efforts will continue Global distancing efforts will continue
A safe vaccine will not be available until mid-late 2021 A safe vaccine will not be available until mid-late 2021
Herd immunity will take time Herd immunity will take time
A second wave is upcoming A second wave is upcoming
Noncompliance will drag out the pandemic Noncompliance will drag out the pandemic
This is not the first time human coronaviruses have emerged This is not the first time human coronaviruses have emerged
Scientists expect future outbreaks to happen Scientists expect future outbreaks to happen
Possible cross infection may retain the survival and increase the strength of the virus Possible cross infection may retain the survival and increase the strength of the virus
Vaccines will not completely eradicate the virus Vaccines will not completely eradicate the virus
Many other viruses have emerged and never ended Many other viruses have emerged and never ended
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When will coronavirus end?
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The coronavirus pandemic may never end

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Scientists expect future outbreaks to happen

Scientific models predict that the virus may always be present and immunity against the virus may not last. When immunity fades, smaller COVID outbreaks will emerge. Scientists also predict virus mutation and cross-infection with other viruses, making COVID stronger and more resistant.
Yonatan Grad Ruth Karron Timothy Sheahan
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The Argument

While people can gain immunity for the virus after infection, some studies show that this immunity may not last forever. Some people will lose immunity while the virus is still spreading. People who recovered from COVID infection may become reinfected. Given the possibility of reinfection, It is impossible or very difficult to contain the virus.[1] The spread of coronavirus and the flu virus at the same time may continue and worsen the outbreak. With the two viruses circulating in large amounts in the winter, scientists predict that the coronavirus may combine with the flu virus, resulting in a stronger mutated virus. This cross-infection will lead to another stronger outbreak, making it very difficult to end the coronavirus as it gets stronger.[2] Even if the two viruses do not combine, the presence of coronavirus and flu-virus cases will overwhelm the healthcare system, resulting in overcrowding and some people losing access to healthcare. Since both viruses have similar symptoms, it will also be difficult to distinguish between a flu case and a coronavirus case.[2] The virus is still present in some animal species. Even if the world manages to completely eradicate the virus from the human population, there is always the chance that it can jump back to humans from other animals. Scientists also do not know if humans transmitted the virus back to some animals, which would make the virus more mutated and stronger. The virus will always be present and continues to mutate either in humans or other animals. Scientists cannot eliminate the possibility of future outbreaks and the virus may never end.[3]

Counter arguments

There is a solution for fading immunity: a coronavirus vaccine. People can get regular vaccine boosters against the virus to re-obtain immunity. In this way, the virus will not be able to infect people and will eventually die. There is a low probability that COVID-19 and the flu viruses combine. Some researchers speculate that the strength of the coronavirus may decrease if it combines with the common cold viruses because humans will have built immunity against the pathogens. [1]

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Premises

Rejecting the premises

References

  1. https://www.advisory.com/daily-briefing/2020/08/06/coronavirus-future#:~:text=As%20new%20coronavirus%20cases%20continue,global%20pandemic,%20either.
  2. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/coronavirus-and-the-flu-a-looming-double-threat/
  3. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/08/coronavirus-will-never-go-away/614860/#:~:text=%E2%80%9CThe%20faster%20protection%20goes%20away,eradication,%E2%80%9D%20Grad%20told%20me.&text=This%20has%20implications%20for%20a,to%20maintain%20immunity%20over%20time.
This page was last edited on Tuesday, 29 Sep 2020 at 19:06 UTC

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